Subscribe to unlock expert picks. BookiesEDGE is the premier sports betting subscription with access to professional handicappers and real-time picks across leagues.
Click to find out why we win.
Lamar Jackson 2021 Betting Futures
Lamar Jackson To Win NFL MVP
Odds: +1800 at DraftKings Sportsbook
Jackson won this award in 2019. Therefore, he’ll automatically be on the radar of voters all season. He has some potential to overachieve in 2021, given the gains Baltimore made on offense this offseason. He is around +1800 to win his second MVP award at most sportsbooks.
The Ravens are +1400 on the Super Bowl betting market, and have held steady at this price since the end of Super Bowl 55. Baltimore focused on continuity this offseason, especially on defense. The Ravens are stacked and could end up with the stingiest unit in the NFL in terms of points allowed and yards yielded.
Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes (+500) is the favorite to win the 2021 MVP Award. Meanwhile, 2020 MVP Aaron Rodgers and Buffalo QB Josh Allen are next at +1000. Among the third-tier group of QBs, Jackson is behind Russell Wilson and Dak Prescott (+1400), and Tom Brady and Matthew Stafford (+1600). The value is certainly here and Jackson is a good bet at this price.
But the competition is fierce. In terms of MVP voting, the success of the Ravens is likely to be shared between Jackson and his defense in the minds of voters, therefore potentially diluting his support.
Lamar Jackson Under 850.5 Yards Rushing
Odds: +115 at PointsBet
Baltimore has scored 31.2 points per game with Jackson at QB in the regular season. But the postseason has seen a marked drop-off. Jackson is 1-3 in the playoffs during his career, and has combined for just 32 points in those three defeats.
The Ravens attacked their biggest weakness this offseason in bolstering their wide receiver and tight end ranks. Baltimore’s WRs ranked dead last in the NFL in 2020 in both catches and net yards receiving.
But this is 2021, not 1921. A run-first QB is not going to be a winning strategy in the NFL. Baltimore signed WR Sammy Watkins to give Jackson a veteran target after the ball is snapped and another veteran presence in the huddle beforehand.
Jackson ran for 1,005 yards in 2020. We’re looking for a significant drop in Jackson’s rushing yards this season, which is exactly where Baltimore focused this past offseason.
Lamar Jackson Over 25.5 Passing TDs
Odds: -110 at DraftKings Sportsbook
The Ravens gave Jackson multiple new weapons on offense this season. He threw for 26 touchdowns last year with a depleted receiving corps in just 15 games. He missed one regular-season game due to COVID-19 protocols. In 2021, all he has to do is match his output from last season with one more game to do so.
The one caveat: Baltimore has NFL’s second-toughest strength of schedule in 2021 after having the easiest schedule in terms of opponents’ records last year. The Ravens’ 2021 opponents had a combined .563 winning percentage last season.